Construction Economic News

Stay up to date on the latest construction economic news and get in-depth analysis and insights from Chief Economist Michael Guckes.

Michael Guckes, Chief Economist

Michael Guckes is regularly featured as an economics thought leader in national media, including USA Today, Construction Dive, and Marketplace from APM. He started in construction economics as a leading economist for the Ohio Department of Transportation. He then transitioned to manufacturing economics, where he served five years as the chief economist for Gardner Business Media. He covered all forms of manufacturing, from traditional metalworking to advanced composites fabrication. In 2022, Michael joined ConstructConnect's economics team, shifting his focus to the commercial construction market. He received his bachelor’s degree in economics and political science from Kenyon College and his MBA from the Ohio State University.

Blog Feature

By: Michael Guckes, Chief Economist
July 14th, 2023

U.S. consumer prices increased by 3.0% in the year period ending June 30, 2023, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics. This marked the slowest recorded rate of inflation in over two years. At that time, prices were only just beginning their historic rise caused by a combination of surging demand, crippled supply chains, and hampered production.

Blog Feature

By: Michael Guckes, Chief Economist
July 11th, 2023

ConstructConnect’s Expansion Index data through the end of June 2023 reported accelerating contemplated spending growth in the U.S. and Canada at the rate of 16% and 5%, respectively. Rising contemplated spending in the provinces of Alberta, Nova Scotia, and Ontario offset contracting results in Newfoundland and Quebec. Canada’s overall reading was slowed by a substantially lower reading for Quebec from the month prior.

Blog Feature

By: Michael Guckes, Chief Economist
July 3rd, 2023

ConstructConnect's Project Stress Index is a new resource that tracks changes in the level of projects that are delayed, placed on hold, or abandoned based on weekly construction activity data.

Blog Feature

By: Michael Guckes, Chief Economist
June 29th, 2023

The recent history of global energy price movements is unprecedented. Not since at least World War II have energy firms, or their customers, experienced the severity and frequency of price shocks that have occurred as a result of COVID-19 and, more recently, the war in Ukraine.

Blog Feature

By: Michael Guckes, Chief Economist
June 27th, 2023

The economics team at ConstructConnect frequently emphasizes the importance that geography and market verticals have on the future prospects of any construction firm. Freely available data from our Expansion Index makes it possible for any construction business owner with a computer to view for themselves the expected divergence in anticipated construction spending by metropolitan statistical area (MSA) and market vertical. ConstructConnect Insight allows users to see not only historical construction spending by MSA and vertical, but forecast expectations as well.

Blog Feature

By: Michael Guckes, Chief Economist
June 14th, 2023

After surging to notable peaks of $1,400 per contract in May 2021 and a similarly impressive $1,300 in February 2022, the continuous contract prices for Random Length Lumber are currently in search of a market floor. As of May 15, 2023, prices had plummeted to $344, marking a three-year low that was only slightly surpassed by the knee-jerk collapse in prices during the initial weeks of the COVID-19 pandemic. Prior to the disruption caused by the pandemic, lumber prices had traded within a narrow range of $390 to $440 per contract.

Blog Feature

By: Michael Guckes, Chief Economist
May 31st, 2023

When it comes to determining the interest rate that a company must pay to borrow capital, everything is relative. The interest rate that the safest, or least risky, borrowers are charged to borrow is often called the risk-free rate.

Blog Feature

By: Michael Guckes, Chief Economist
May 25th, 2023

Among the real estate firms listed on the Standard and Poor’s 500 Index, earnings per share in Q4 2022 stood at $1.21, reflecting a significant decline of 46% and 49% compared to the levels recorded one quarter and one year ago, respectively. Certainly, 2022’s rising interest rate environment was a significant headwind as the sector is highly dependent on floating interest rates which during the past year rose at their fast rate in history.

Blog Feature

By: Michael Guckes, Chief Economist
May 18th, 2023

Earlier this year ConstructConnect began publishing the Project Stress Index, a proprietary resource tracking the weekly level of projects failing to move towards expected completion.

Blog Feature

By: Michael Guckes, Chief Economist
May 10th, 2023

On May 10, 2023, the Bureau of Labor Statistics released its latest Consumer Price Index data. The release’s broadest measure of prices, the All Items reading, marked its 10th consecutive month in which year-on-year inflation slowed.